Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.009541 0.011402 0.013684 0.016741 0.020816 0.026190 0.034049
2025-03-16 0.007307 0.009492 0.012519 0.017206 0.024669 0.036893 0.060546
2025-03-23 0.006025 0.008241 0.011556 0.017220 0.027487 0.047502 0.097607
2025-03-30 0.005046 0.007141 0.010443 0.016486 0.028550 0.055593 0.141071
2025-04-06 0.004407 0.006412 0.009715 0.016128 0.030093 0.065896 0.211605
2025-04-13 0.004033 0.006030 0.009466 0.016555 0.033497 0.084157 0.372124
2025-04-20 0.003815 0.005865 0.009551 0.017663 0.039157 0.116530 0.835375
2025-04-27 0.003584 0.005636 0.009465 0.018371 0.044264 0.156073 2.104731
2025-05-04 0.003316 0.005302 0.009111 0.018351 0.047252 0.193102 5.518974
2025-05-11 0.003085 0.005007 0.008785 0.018306 0.050230 0.239146 21.888008
2025-05-18 0.002851 0.004677 0.008333 0.017819 0.051389 0.278264 146.344093
2025-05-25 0.002614 0.004320 0.007777 0.016922 0.050508 0.300431 3718.636948
2025-06-01 0.002419 0.004044 0.007405 0.016588 0.052516 0.371054 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002295 0.003898 0.007306 0.017049 0.058820 0.550049 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002158 0.003711 0.007081 0.017063 0.063179 0.767887 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001996 0.003455 0.006659 0.016337 0.063012 0.905101 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001872 0.003266 0.006371 0.015984 0.064903 1.174243 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001799 0.003178 0.006316 0.016406 0.072422 2.021492 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001762 0.003162 0.006436 0.017500 0.086746 5.274728 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001709 0.003105 0.006444 0.018200 0.099828 16.107994 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001632 0.002990 0.006282 0.018179 0.106742 45.355461 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001562 0.002882 0.006124 0.018135 0.113810 221.790448 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001482 0.002747 0.005878 0.017654 0.115506 1331.692434 NaN